Warren Up in Polls, Herald Endorses Brown: Who's Winning?

With Warren holding a small lead in the polls, and Brown getting a key endorsement from the Boston Herald, who do you think has the momentum coming into the final days of the election?

Democrat Elizabeth Warren is up by five points over incumbent Republican Scott Brown in the latest WBUR/MassINC poll of the Massachusetts senate race. That's a near-total reversal of the BUR poll last month, which had Brown up by four on Oct. 9. 

In fact, Warren has been trending upwards in most recent polling. The New York Times' FiveThirtyEight blog has Warren up by four in an average of recent polls. The blog, which uses advanced statistical modeling akin to baseball sabermetrics (think Moneyball) gives Warren an 89 percent chance of winning the election.

But Brown's got some significant energy on his side as well. He's been barnstorming the state with political luminaries like Senator John McCain and today won the Boston herald's endorsement.

So what do you think? Who has the momentum coming into the final two weeks of the election? Do the polls in liberal-leaning Massachusetts mean anything to you, or will Brown's high-profile support sway the electorate? Give us your prediction in the comments below!

Bloodyrue Andrue October 25, 2012 at 08:33 PM
Brown has my vote over whining.
Stumpgrinder October 25, 2012 at 09:42 PM
HEADLINE Mass. Sheep Led to Slaughter (if this ain't s'more Democrap)
Karen October 25, 2012 at 10:28 PM
I always feel like Warren is scolding us.
OllieD November 03, 2012 at 12:47 PM
The endorsement of Brown by the Harold is no great surprise, along with the Globe's endorsement of Warren. So question if either will have much of an influence. I find having Senator McCain campaign with Brown interesting and a bit of a puzzle. Brown is trying to be independent in a deeply blue state and is seen with someone who since the last election has become a lot more conservative. Perhaps it will be a benefit in turning out the base for Brown, however I would think that would only influence the total vote by a couple of points, and with Warren leading in the polls by four or five points, won't make a difference in the outcome.


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